Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.438593 0.513859 0.596016 0.692072 0.801006 0.920407 1.060877
2025-01-26 0.324818 0.427342 0.550215 0.707019 0.900363 1.129439 1.419708
2025-02-02 0.251484 0.365526 0.513431 0.716248 0.983624 1.320216 1.771541
2025-02-09 0.200384 0.318180 0.481866 0.720525 1.053209 1.493303 2.110829
2025-02-16 0.167957 0.288471 0.466364 0.739753 1.139179 1.689695 2.491314
2025-02-23 0.140259 0.259481 0.445685 0.746006 1.203776 1.858154 2.842523
2025-03-02 0.111938 0.223419 0.407731 0.719576 1.214980 1.948469 3.086549
2025-03-09 0.097858 0.208497 0.400481 0.738572 1.294296 2.140975 3.487896
2025-03-16 0.084907 0.192923 0.389398 0.748951 1.359367 2.314669 3.870100
2025-03-23 0.078145 0.187771 0.395420 0.788023 1.472881 2.568876 4.387913
2025-03-30 0.066677 0.170816 0.377342 0.782342 1.510364 2.704312 4.727723
2025-04-06 0.056545 0.154537 0.357989 0.771564 1.537059 2.822464 5.044846
2025-04-13 0.048022 0.140277 0.340953 0.763866 1.569683 2.954581 5.396150
2025-04-20 0.042747 0.132601 0.336354 0.779615 1.645839 3.164745 5.887823
2025-04-27 0.037711 0.124372 0.329305 0.789483 1.711505 3.360369 6.365074
2025-05-04 0.033004 0.115872 0.320302 0.794079 1.767036 3.540842 6.825013
2025-05-11 0.029919 0.111132 0.319179 0.814946 1.855224 3.783737 7.403651
2025-05-18 0.026424 0.104305 0.312011 0.821731 1.915673 3.979244 7.908026
2025-05-25 0.021700 0.092326 0.290136 0.793026 1.901668 4.036377 8.168928
2025-06-01 0.019798 0.089006 0.289872 0.813656 1.990639 4.290107 8.794134
2025-06-08 0.017731 0.084543 0.285863 0.824925 2.060457 4.510702 9.368131
2025-06-15 0.016984 0.084668 0.294444 0.867335 2.199756 4.871389 10.214584
2025-06-22 0.014708 0.078322 0.283781 0.861170 2.232667 5.026374 10.684449